The infection rate in the UK has increased and is close to the point where cases of coronavirus could increase, according to scientific advice from the government.
The so-called “R number” should be kept below one in order to keep control of the cases.
But revised figures from the SAGE panel of scientific advisers indicate that the R number is now between 0.7 and 1.0.
And they ignore the locking changes announced by the Prime Minister on Sunday.
The number R was between 0.5 and 0.9.
The number of new cases is still falling in the UK, but sources have said progress is “approaching stability”.
The latest analysis takes into account the spread of the coronavirus in nursing homes, hospitals and more generally in society.
Since the numbers are based on patients ending up in the hospital, they actually give an idea of the R number from about three weeks ago.
This precedes Boris Johnson’s shift from “staying at home” to “staying alert” while encouraging some people to return to work and allowing people to meet someone outside their home at outside.
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