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‘Doctor Manoon’ pointed out that the actual number of coronavirus cases in Thailand is probably 8 times higher than the number reported.

On August 9, 1964, Dr. Manoon Leechawengwong (Doctor Manoon), a respiratory specialist Wichaiyut Hospital Post a message via Facebook (Mr Manoon Leechawengwong FC) stated that… “Compare the number of deaths from AIDS and COVID-19” during the 40 years I have cared for addicts. HIV virus More than 40 million people have died from AIDS worldwide. 35 million people are still living with HIV. More than 600,000 Thai people have died from AIDS. There are still Thai people infected with HIV. Over 400,000 people live. Antiviral drugs are a game changer from 40 years ago without drugs. There are currently more than 30 effective antiretroviral drugs available to help people with HIV live longer than normal people. Although there is no HIV vaccine yet.

COVID-19 since the beginning of the outbreak The total number of deaths worldwide is 4.3 million, the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases is 203 million. calculated by the number of deaths divided by the number of infected equal to 2.1%. This number is probably higher than it actually is.”

US experts estimate that the actual number of infections in the US must be multiplied by 4, India by 28. Thailand reported 6,204 deaths, cumulative cases 756,505, mortality rate 0.82 percent. will be approximately 8 times higher than the reported number” (we are much less proactive in testing for coronavirus than other countries). Therefore, the mortality rate is likely to drop 8 times to 0.1% if assuming 70 million people in Thailand are infected. There will be 70,000 deaths, much less than AIDS. A game changer in reducing coronavirus death rates is a vaccine, regardless of brand It can reduce serious illness and death by 10 times compared to unvaccinated people.

Today’s antiviral drugs for COVID-19 Still not as effective as antiretroviral drugs 30 years ago if a new antiviral drug as good as the flu drug comes out next year. The number of critically ill patients and deaths will drop further.

Personally, I estimate that for every 1,000 Thai people infected with the coronavirus, 950 people have slightly flu-like symptoms. do nothing disappear by itself Most of them didn’t come to the doctor, -30 had a mild cough, possibly lunging some, had to see a doctor-20 of them had to go to bed in the hospital, 5 of the 20 people who slept in the hospital had severe symptoms. Moved into ICU 2 out of 5 people sleeping in ICU ventilator-wearing 1 in 2 ventilator-wearing people die (0.1% of all coronavirus cases)

“Thai people don’t worry. too much stress You have to accept and learn to live with covid. Although there has been a steady increase in the deaths of new patients during this period.”