Forget President TrumpDonald John TrumpTrump predicts that the death toll from viruses could reach 100,000 in the United States. Pence says he should have worn a mask when visiting the Mayo Clinic Trump said next coronavirus relief bill should include lower payroll taxes MORECritics of Democrats and even in the media.
Suddenly the burning question is whether Trump’s support among the Republicans for Capitol Hill withers.
First there was the memo warning Senate Republicans to be re-elected: “Don’t defend Trump, other than the travel ban in China – attack China.”
The advice to seek Trump’s remote political shelter came from the Republican National Senate Committee. Given the track record of Senate Republicans in Trump’s blind defense, the memo signaled a new reality.
GOP senators see their political future for the first time as separate from Trump’s candidacy for a second term.
Another reason to distance himself from the president came from an announcement attacking four Senate Republicans for re-election for their record of “shameless servility” to Trump. The announcement was paid for by anti-Trump Republicans.
And the biggest sign of GOP internal division was Trump’s threat to sue his campaign manager.
Trump was upset that Brad ParscaleBradley (Brad) James Parscale PLUS sent him surveys showing him the loss of the White House to former Vice President Biden.
“I don’t want to lose against Joe BidenJoe BidenWhitmer says she believes Biden on allegation of dangerous militarization by Republicans of Tara Reade’s allegation against Joe Biden Biden accuses Trump of “ total aggression against the media ” on World Day press freedom PLUSPresident Trump said on a call with his senior campaign staff last week, according to several sources who spoke to the Associated Press.
But you lose, you are, Mr. Chair. Parscale’s data corresponds to public and internal campaign surveys.
Trump loses in national polls and in major swing states. He even loses among those over 65, according to the Wall Street Journal. Biden’s lead has grown after the President’s infamous suggestion that injecting disinfectant into the human body could eliminate the deadly virus.
An NPR / PBS NewsHour / Marist poll released last week found that a majority – 55% – of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the pandemic – an increase of 6 points from last month.
Some political forecasts frighten Republicans downright. Political scientist Rachel Bitecofer has published an election forecast for the center of Niskanen which predicts a “blue tsunami” as “the most likely outcome”.
The latest USA Today / Suffolk poll shows that if the election were held today, Biden would beat Trump by 10 points in a national confrontation.
And the latest average from Real Clear Politics polls has Biden topped Trump by more than three points in Wisconsin, Florida, Michigan, Arizona, Minnesota and Pennsylvania.
With these numbers, strategists have good reason to tell Republican politicians to get away from Trump. If he was at the top of the polls in the November elections, his decline is a threat to withdraw them.
“President Trump’s erratic management of the coronavirus epidemic, the worsening economy and a cascade of disturbing public and private elections is worrying Republicans increasingly that they risk losing the presidency and the Senate if Mr. Trump does not radically put the nation in a drastic situation. improved the course, “reported the New York Times last week.
The Democrats already seem well positioned to hold – and even increase their majority in the House.
The Democratic Congress Campaign Committee announced the largest quarterly fundraiser in its history last week – with $ 43.5 million and more than $ 80 million on hand. The National Republican Congressional Committee raised $ 39.3 million in the first quarter with just $ 49 million on hand.
With this drawback of fundraising, the GOP is unlikely to capture the seats they need to win the majority in the House.
The majority of the Senate is also to be won. The prospects for Republicans retaining their majority in the Senate from 53 to 47 appear bleaker than at the start of the year. The serving Republican senators from Colorado, Arizona, Maine and North Carolina are all struggling to defend Trump’s slow response to the Covid-19 crisis.
In addition, the non-partisan Cook political report now rates four other GOP seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas and Montana as “skinny republican”.
The growing prospect of this violent storm for the GOP leads strategists to advise their candidates to abstain from Trump.
“This may be an unprecedented circumstance in terms of public health and budget, but it is not unprecedented politically for the Congress party to look at the outgoing president and say, ‘How can we protect ourselves from the trail of the White House? Former Republican MP Vin Weber told The Hill last week.
Again, this is why Republican spin doctors advise vulnerable senators to stop defending Trump and try to go on the attack on China.
Senate Democrats see the GOP’s internal struggles as confirmation of the strength of their argument against Trump.
“Ignore the warnings of the intelligence community, send PPE to China and not properly prepare the country – this is the heritage of this administration and of the Republican senators who continue to support it,” said the spokeswoman for DSCC, Helen Kalla.
With six months to go before polling day, Republicans are advised to consider the political equivalent of about forty Trump to prevent him from infecting otherwise politically healthy incumbents.
The president tried to blame immigrants, the media and of course China. He claims that he did not really put into words the idea of putting disinfectants inside people but that he was “sarcastic”.
Well, it’s not sarcasm to say at the moment that Trump’s comments on bleach may have simply erased his “red wall” in the electoral college and perhaps the Republican majority in the Senate.
Juan Williams is a writer and political analyst for Fox News Channel.