Speaking about foreign affairs / Dr. Wiwat Setthachuay
Although the US presidential election in 2024 is more than a year and a half away. But we still don’t know that. Who will be elected to represent the entire Republican Party? and the Democrats
Now people generally think that the representative of the Republican Party would be “Former President Donald Trump” and the Democratic camp. “President Joe Biden”!!!
Most Americans are concerned about the age of the two veteran politicians. Because if President Joe Biden wins another term When he steps into the White House again, he will be 82 years old, and if President Trump is elected he will be 78 years old.
Now let’s turn to the poll results from the neutral and unbiased “Quinnipiac” university polling station. It was last revealed on November 22, 2022 that Americans reached 57% disagree with President Trump running for re-election in 2024, with a majority of people agreeing that the image of President Trump is very negative and that he is undermining’ r Republican Party. More than 58% of independents disagreed with President Trump running for another term as well.
According to the results of the poll conducted jointly by three offices, the CBC News Agency NPR Polling Office and Meris Polling House Three months ago, this stated that up to 60% of Americans do not want the President Trump in office in 2024 for two main reasons: It is believed that President Trump was the manipulator behind the riots on January 6, 2021 in the hope of reversing the election!!!
In this case, a House of Representatives investigative committee has been established to determine the facts, starting July 27, 2021, and is expected to be completed later this year.
On Monday, November 28, after President Trump’s former senior adviser, Kellyanne Conway, voluntarily testified behind the January 6, 2021 riots, she told reporters: President Trump’s plan to subvert the election and deny’ the result has come from President Trump delaying advice from close circles despite Jared. Kushner, son-in-law and White House adviser to President Trump and Ivanka. President Trump’s favorite daughter, Kushner, has opposed the plan and has also stepped away from President Trump’s political circle since President Joe Biden was elected.
The second is that President Trump has secretly kept over 10,000 documents at his home in Florida and is now in the hands of special prosecutor Jack Smith, an experienced investigator. He was recently appointed on November 18 by the Attorney General of the United States Merrick Garland to oversee investigations into President Trump’s secret archives and into parallel investigations into the Trump administration Riots on January 6, 2021
However, it seems that the mid-term elections that passed on November 8, 2022 did not meet the expectations and intentions of President Trump that he had predicted. In the House of Representatives, the Republican Party won more than 40 seats, but was let down by a large glass of frustration. The Republicans won seven more seats than the Democrats until November 28. Also, President Trump elects Republican senators to gain a majority in the Senate. But it seems again he did not reach the land of the dream. As the Democrats are still lucky, they can sit in the majority as before!!!
As for the by-election to be held on December 6, 2022 in Georgia, as both parties have less than 50% of the vote, the second re-election race between Democratic Senator Rafe Warnock and former football star Herschel Walker, the Republican elected by President Trump. This American football player has a big political wound, has a chance to lose quite high And it could lead to the Democrats winning the seat to 51 to 49, it is possible.
Regarding the announcement of President Trump’s third term on November 15, 2022, in the past, many politicians who used to fear prestige often avoided the face of President Trump. But now he is back, lined up as a challenger, especially “Governor Ron Dizontas” from the state of Florida. The victory in the second season was resounding. and now moving to campaign Start from the State of Ohio on Friday, December 2, and it is known that the Presidential Election Race of the United States Florida It is almost always a decisive state !!!
All of this led to President Trump. Blamed by Republican politicians for He led the party’s strategic game and led the party to disappointment. It is not too wrong to assume that Khao Duang Rahu is eating right now.
Now let’s turn to analyzing the political status of President Joe Biden.
In the latest “Quinnipiac” university poll, 88% of Democrats were against President Joe Biden running for re-election.
Also, 67% of Americans do not want President Joe. Biden is also running in the 2024 election.
Harvard CAPS/Harris poll reveals most Americans are fed up with either President Joe Biden and President Trump are no longer running for the presidency of the United States
But on the other hand, it seems that after the mid-term elections leading Democrats have expressed their admiration for President Joe Biden’s ability to maintain the majority of the Senate. In addition, this was followed by inflation that started to improve and the Ukrainian war on the Russian side as a defense.
Make this week President Joe Biden issued a statement saying: He will announce his decision that he will run again at the beginning of February next year.
Currently, the approval ratings of the two former presidents differ by just over one percentage point. As seen from a poll of Thirty Five with high accuracy revealing this latest President Joe Biden’s approval rating is 41.4% and President Trump’s approval rating is 40.2%.
Now, turn to the opinions of scholars who have predicted the outcome of US presidential elections over the past 40 years, such as Professor Alan Lichtman’s correct predictions every time. Look at the opinions of scholars who have predicted the outcome of US presidential elections over the past 40 years . and won the vote over his opponent, “Hillary. Clinton”, who predicted against the different polling agencies, stunned all parties. made Dr. Lichtman Thanks from Donald Trump Signed it with the words, “Professor – Congratulations – good call.”
As for President Joe Biden, Dr. Lichtman now notes that age appears to be an obstacle. And he goes on to say that if President Joe Biden doesn’t run, it’s going to be hard for the Democrats to win.
Lichtman further commented that the 2024 election will see the Republicans in serious trouble. Because there is probably no politician who shines like former President Ronald Reagan.
All in all, it looks like President Joe’s decision is who will represent the Democrats. Biden was leaning. As for the Republican Party, the chance that former President Trump will be represented is still there. Regarding the matter that he is about to be prosecuted in the civil court and the criminal court. By the looks of it, it would be comfortable, Trump style. Because he has the expertise and experience in the field of litigation that no one has been able to erase the statistics of fighting more than 4,000 cases similar to him.
