Half of the country (52%) believe that President Donald Trump will refuse to accept a tight defeat in the presidential election in November, according to a new Yahoo News / YouGov poll. And the majority of Trump 2020 supporters (55%) say they would not accept the general election results if Democrat Joe Biden won because of an advantage in mail-order voting.
On the contrary, a plurality of Americans (41%) believe that Biden would accept defeat in the 2020 elections if he lost by a narrow margin. And about half (47%) of Biden’s supporters say so would accepts the results if Trump has won a close re-election by correspondence.
The partisan distinction could come down to the GOP doubt in the absent vote. Other YouGov data indicate that Republicans (53%) are more likely than Democrats (17%) and Americans (35%) to believe that voting in the mail leads to “many” fraud. This idea has been promoted in recent weeks by President Trump, who has categorically suggested – despite evidence to the contrary – that the widespread vote of absentees will lead to huge amounts of voter fraud.
The poll comes as President Trump drags Biden by nine points in the Yahoo News / YouGov trial process (49% vs 40%) and states are confronted on how to guarantee Americans their right to vote in the 2020 elections amid the COVID-19 pandemic. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said that elections that offer voting in person in a single day create a “higher risk of COVID-19 spreading because there will be larger crowds and longer waiting times” .
Previous Yahoo News / YouGov polls have shown that most Democrats (65%) prefer the postal vote, while three quarters (75%) of the Republicans prefer the vote in person.
Related: Are Americans more concerned about voter fraud or rejecting their elections?
Methodology: Yahoo! The news survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 1,506 adult U.S. residents interviewed online between 28 and 30 July 2020. This sample was weighted by gender, age, race and education based on the American Community Survey, conducted by the United States Bureau of the Census, as well as the 2016 presidential vote, registration status, geographic region, and news interest. The margin of error for the whole sample is ± 3.3%